Forecast Discussion 09/29/20 AM: Soaking rain & seasonable today

Forecast Discussion
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AVERAGE HIGH FOR SEPTEMBER 28th: 68°

AVERAGE LOW FOR SEPTEMBER 28th: 43°

TUESDAY SUNRISE: 7:03 AM

TUESDAY SUNSET: 6:51 PM

Noon Update: With this update, we are beginning to see some steadier shower activity working into the Twin Tiers. Intensity will pick up as we go through the afternoon and tonight, moderate to heavy rainfall will be possible. Still looking to see on average 1-2 inches, isolated higher amounts will be possible within the heavier rain bands. Shower activity will begin to taper off Wednesday morning and we will see partial sunshine a late day. This rainfall will be very beneficial to the Twin Tiers as we are still seeing moderate to severe drought conditions.

A cold front moving through the region this morning with produce some much-needed rainfall across the area. High temperatures will occur this morning before cooler air enters the atmosphere. We will see temperatures in the mid to upper 60s, they will gradually fall back into the low 60s this evening. Light showers will arrive in the area this morning before steadier rainfall moves in for the afternoon. We will have the potential to see moderate to heavy rain at times. There is limited instability, only expecting isolated embedded thunderstorms. Steady rain looks to continue tonight before tapering off to light showers early Wednesday morning. On average the rainfall through the next 24 hours will be between 1-2″, the highest amounts will occur in locations that see the heavy rain bands move through. Low temperatures tonight will hover 50 degrees.

The above cold front will move to the east of the region on Wednesday. Thanks to wrap-around moisture from that system we will have the potential for isolated lake enhanced showers. By Wednesday afternoon we will see partial clearing. Highs will be in the mid to upper 60s. Isolated shower chances look to continue through the end of the workweek but it won’t be a washout. Mainly dry conditions look to return as we towards the upcoming weekend. Temperatures will continue to be seasonable for this time of year.

TUESDAY: WIDESPREAD RAINFALL, MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES, ISOLATED EMBEDDED STORM
HIGH: 68

TUESDAY NIGHT: LIGHT RAIN, TRANSITIONING TO LIGHT SHOWERS LATE, PATCHY FOG
LOW: 49

WEDNESDAY: SHOWERS LINGER, PARTIAL CLEARING BY THE AFTERNOON
HIGH: 66 LOW: 46

THURSDAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY, ISOLATED SHOWER
HIGH: 67 LOW: 41

FRIDAY: PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY, CHANCE SHOWERS
HIGH: 64 LOW: 39

SATURDAY: MAINLY DRY, PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY
HIGH: 60 LOW: 36

SUNDAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY
HIGH: 63 LOW: 41

MONDAY: CLOUDY, CHANCE SHOWERS
HIGH: 62 LOW: 39

Connect with the 18 Storm Team.

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